{"id":1548,"date":"2025-03-11T15:28:16","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T07:28:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ekonomiunggul.com\/?p=1548"},"modified":"2025-03-11T15:28:16","modified_gmt":"2025-03-11T07:28:16","slug":"harga-minyak-makan-turun-naik-ketara-sejak-sebulan-lalu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ekonomiunggul.com\/?p=1548","title":{"rendered":"Harga minyak makan turun naik ketara sejak sebulan lalu"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

KUALA LUMPUR: Harga minyak boleh dimakan global termasuk minyak sawit mentah (MSM) dijangka tidak menentu dipengaruhi kesan dasar tarif Amerika Syarikat (AS).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Penganalisis TA Securities, Angeline Chin, berkata harga minyak boleh dimakan global berada dalam turun naik tidak menentu sejak sebulan lalu, sebahagian besarnya disebabkan oleh dasar tarif AS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China, Kanada dan Mexico, katanya telah bertindak balas terhadap tindakan AS itu dengan tarif balasan dan dipercayai bahawa keputusan China untuk mengenakan tarif ke atas kacang soya AS boleh meningkatkan permintaan untuk kacang soya Brazil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bagaimanapun, menurut Persatuan Pengeksport Bijian Kebangsaan Brazil (ANEC), walaupun peralihan dalam aliran perdagangan boleh meningkatkan permintaan untuk komoditi Brazil, infrastruktur terhad boleh menghalang negara itu daripada memanfaatkan sepenuhnya peluang, dengan logistik di peringkat domestik menjadi kekangan utama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Oleh itu, pada pandangan kami, ketidaktentuan menanti di hadapan, yang boleh menjadikan pasaran sangat tidak dapat dijangkakan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Mengenai faktor bermusim, aktiviti lazim mengumpul stok menjelang Ramadan adalah lebih perlahan daripada yang dijangkakan, menunjukkan bahawa pembeli India mungkin beralih kepada alternatif minyak yang lebih berpatutan berbanding minyak sawit,” katanya dalam satu nota penyelidikan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Di samping itu, Chin berkata, permintaan yang lemah dari China dijangka berterusan, sekali gus memberi tekanan terhadap harga MSM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Melangkah ke hadapan, katanya, pasaran akan memantau dengan teliti rundingan antara China dan AS memandangkan sebarang potensi perselisihan atau perjanjian boleh memberi kesan yang ketara terhadap pasaran minyak kacang soya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Kami mengekalkan pandangan ‘neutral’ terhadap sektor perladangan, dengan jangkaan harga MSM tidak berubah RM3,800 satu tan untuk 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Risiko penurunan utama kepada tinjauan sektor termasuk bekalan kacang soya dari Amerika Selatan yang lebih rendah daripada jangkaan, pemulihan permintaan yang lebih kukuh daripada jangkaan, pengeluaran minyak sawit lebih rendah daripada jangkaan dan pengurangan ketara dalam kos pengeluaran,” katanya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd pula mengekalkan penarafan ‘wajaran tinggi’ atau wajaran tinggi terhadap sektor perladangan susulan harga minyak sawit mentah (MSM) yang kukuh selain defisit bekalan global yang berterusan walaupun eksport lemah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalam nota tinjauannya, cabang penyelidikan bank pelaburan itu berkata data Lembaga Minyak Sawit Malaysia (MPOB) menunjukkan inventori minyak sawit jatuh kepada 1.512 juta tan pada Februari 2025 iaitu susut empat peratus bulan ke bulan dan 21 peratus bagi tahun ke tahun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Walaupun masih di bawah purata 10 tahun, angka itu berada dalam lingkungan satu peratus daripada konsensus pasaran dan lapan peratus melebihi unjuran Kenanga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Susulan itu, Kenanga menjangkakan purata harga MSM dalam julat RM4,600 hingga RM4,700 setiap tan bagi suku pertama 2025 yang melebihi unjuran awal pada awal tahun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sementara itu, RHB Research pula menjangkakan paras stok akan kekal bawah dua juta untuk beberapa bulan akan datang, susulan musim keluaran rendah dan musim perayaan akan datang, yang menyokong harga MSM lebih mahal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Katanya, paras inventori jatuh kepada 1.51 juta tan pada Februari 2025, berikutan pengeluaran lebih rendah, yang diimbangi oleh jumlah eksport lebih rendah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sumber: BH Online<\/mark><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

KUALA LUMPUR: Harga minyak boleh dimakan global termasuk minyak sawit mentah (MSM) dijangka tidak menentu dipengaruhi kesan dasar tarif Amerika Syarikat (AS). Penganalisis TA Securities, Angeline Chin, berkata harga minyak boleh dimakan global berada dalam turun naik tidak menentu sejak sebulan lalu, sebahagian besarnya disebabkan oleh dasar tarif AS. China, Kanada dan Mexico, katanya telah […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-berita"],"yoast_head":"\nHarga minyak makan turun naik ketara sejak sebulan lalu - Solusi Ekonomi Unggul<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ekonomiunggul.com\/?p=1548\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Harga minyak makan turun naik ketara sejak sebulan lalu - Solusi Ekonomi Unggul\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"KUALA LUMPUR: Harga minyak boleh dimakan global termasuk minyak sawit mentah (MSM) dijangka tidak menentu dipengaruhi kesan dasar tarif Amerika Syarikat (AS). Penganalisis TA Securities, Angeline Chin, berkata harga minyak boleh dimakan global berada dalam turun naik tidak menentu sejak sebulan lalu, sebahagian besarnya disebabkan oleh dasar tarif AS. 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